“As we reflect on the 2023/24 Premier League season, we’ve assembled a team of players who underperformed their Expected Goals (xG) totals. This XI features representatives from Aston Villa, Everton, Luton, Newcastle, Tottenham, Manchester United, Chelsea, and Liverpool.
Matty Cash (Aston Villa) – 1.8xG underperformance
Aston Villa’s Matty Cash scored two league goals from an xG total of 3.8, converting just 6% of his 33 shots on goal.
James Tarkowski (Everton) – 2.4xG underperformance
Everton’s James Tarkowski, who played every minute in the Premier League, underperformed his xG by 2.4 goals, netting just once despite chances worth at least three goals.
Reece Burke (Luton) – 2xG underperformance
Luton’s Reece Burke failed to score despite an xG total of 2, joining Tarkowski in the backline.
Dan Burn (Newcastle) – 1.8xG underperformance
Newcastle’s Dan Burn scored two goals from an expected 3.8, with his 23 shots on goal averaging 0.17xG, indicating a high number of shots inside the box.
Brennan Johnson (Tottenham) – 6.4xG underperformance
Tottenham’s Brennan Johnson ended his debut season with 15 goal involvements (five goals, 10 assists), but underperformed his xG by over six goals, missing 17 big chances.
Casemiro (Manchester United) – 2.6xG underperformance
Manchester United’s Casemiro scored just once despite chances worth at least three goals, underperforming his xG by 2.6 goals.
Enzo Fernandez (Chelsea) – 3.3xG underperformance
Chelsea’s £100m signing Enzo Fernandez scored three goals from 47 attempts, underperforming his xG by 3.3 goals.
Luis Diaz (Liverpool) – 5xG underperformance
Liverpool’s Luis Diaz enjoyed his best scoring season, netting eight league goals, but underperformed his xG by five goals, expected to break into double figures.
Darwin Nunez (Liverpool) – 7xG underperformance
Liverpool’s Darwin Nunez ended the season as the Premier League’s biggest xG underperformer, scoring seven goals fewer than expected and missing 27 big chances.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Everton) – 6.7xG underperformance
Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin underperformed his expected total by nearly seven goals, netting seven times despite chances worth double that tally.
